Published on Friday, June 07 2013 10:33
Bond yields have finally starting moving up as the Federal Reserve has begun hinting that they might reduce the amount of bonds they have been buying. The ten-year treasury yield is now at 2.12%, which is nearly 0.50% higher than we saw a year ago. Of course, we have a long way to go to reach the 5% level we saw in 2007.
Low interest rates over the past five years have undoubtedly hurt those in retirement who wanted to live on a fixed income. In fact, it completely ruined many retirement plans and forced some people back to work. Now that rates have risen slightly I want to take a look at
Published on Thursday, February 21 2013 11:12
Since the lows of 2009, the S&P 500 index is up nearly 120%. Before this rally there were those who had been talking about low stock market returns for years to come. With the stock market having rallied so far so quickly, the odds of lower returns going forward might even be higher now.
I want to take a look at how various average returns for the market might impact a typical person’s retirement situation. I will use Monte Carlo analysis in our retirement planning application to run various scenarios where average stock market returns are low for the next twenty years and then revert to historical return levels after that.
Published on Friday, November 16 2012 07:00
By Doug Carey
I spend a lot of time helping people understand how much money they will need to meet their retirement goals. Today I want to look at this another way: What will $1 million actually get you in retirement? This is an interesting question
Published on Saturday, December 22 2012 07:00
by Doug Carey
As we get closer to the “fiscal cliff” more politicians have been discussing how to reduce the coming crushing burden of entitlements. Of course, most of those in Congress do not want to be the ones who actually cut anything for fear of losing votes. But one way they can reduce social security payments without calling it a cut, is to change how social security payments are indexed to inflation.
Published on Friday, October 19 2012 07:00
By Doug Carey
Most people have several goals in retirement. They want to retire at a certain age, they want to buy a vacation home, a new car, go to Europe twice a year, etc.